新型冠状病毒ncov——中国加油

2020年是六十甲子纪年法中的庚子年,历史上庚子年一向灾祸不断,民不聊生。所以有“庚子之灾”的说法,虽说有些迷信,但2020年初病毒蔓延,科比意外坠机,属实不是一个好兆头。都说病毒毁了我们的春节,坠机毁了男孩子的青春。但失去本是人间常态,我们只有坚强,别无他选。
Liu
前言
我们每个人都憧憬着未来,憧憬着明天会更美好,却不知明天和意外哪个先来。
希望我的家人们、朋友们还有屏幕前的读者能够增强安全意识,提前做好防护措施。
以后还有很多美好等着我们不期而遇,一定要忍住、忍住,坚持就是胜利!
祝大家破而后立,晓喻新生 !
现状
我们都知道政府和医生们在前线全力战斗;但是给民众安全感毕竟是国家的职责,因此国家给我们释放了很多正能量信号,比如说在车站通过量体温的方式检测病毒,对真实患者人数的保守统计等等。但是我们自己要知道,国家的封锁消息是为了遏制恐慌,减少舆论。我们要了解病情的真实发展情况和严重程度才能做到更好的预防,相信国家的同时,一定要对自己的个人安全负责。
- 下面是转载自Youtube热点互动频道 Jason博士的视频
分析
- 部分地区封城、封村、封区,物价波动,医院床位不足,病情蔓延暂时没有得到有效控制
- 武汉地区物资供应逐渐恢复,市民惶恐程度下降,逐渐接受现实 √
- 病毒变异速度快,但病毒诞生时间较短:2019年10月~11月底出现,已有2个月左右时间自由传播
- 传播途径:已经确定可以人传人、飞沫传染。大几率可以空气传染,可以长时间在空气中悬浮,普通口罩预防效果不理想。
- 病毒复制数字R0:3.8(R0>1 病毒暂不可控 R0 = 0 病毒接近尾声,疫情要结束了 R0 = 1 每个携带者可以复制给一个人)
- 潜伏期:7~14天
- 产生时间较短,人类没有抗体,中国人口密集,潜伏期长,复制数字高——短期内无法有效控制疫情
- 与Sars比较: 传染性比Sars更强,死亡率比Sars低(疫情未结束,死亡率不准确只是估值)
- 官方数据没有可参考价值,武汉预计20万人感染;火车站检测体温缺乏实际意义
- 治疗方式:依靠人体自身免疫力,用医疗辅助设施加强人体免疫系统
- 中老年人为易感人群,后遗症未知
口罩
目前淘宝天猫京东都有卖,发货较慢,性价比较低,预计年后恢复生产,价格会压下来。
日后卫生局也可能统一派发。
另外朋友卖Kn95口罩顺丰到付20元一只,10只起卖,2-3天到货,个人觉得价格虚高,不太划算,不过需要应急也可以留言联系我。
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